Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has made 100.0% of his treys over the last 5 games, 77.9% more than he's converted in all games this season.
The matchup against Denver is a strong one; when the Nuggets are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 22nd-most points per game in the league to opposing starting Cs over the last 15 games (15.3).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has tallied 13.1 minutes per game this year, some of the lowest playing time of any player in the league: 24th percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.
The matchup against the Nuggets may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a mere 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (8th-least in the NBA).

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