Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz · Feb 15, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has sunk 79.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 18.4% higher than he's sunk overall this year.
Xavier Tillman has played 25.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 11.5 more than he's played in all games this season.
The matchup vs. Walker Kessler is a good one; he has allowed a massive 16.4 points per game when playing on the road when defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Jazz have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to increased possessions for the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has attempted 0.3 threes per game this year, putting him in the 12th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.

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