Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2023

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 2, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has converted 50.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games on the road, 12.5% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season while playing away from home.
Xavier Tillman has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least lowest-fouling players in the NBA (16th percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has tallied 12.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-used players in the NBA: 21st percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games while on the road.
This matchup is a challenging one for three-pointers; their opposition have averaged the 7th-least 3-pointers per game in the NBA over the last 10 games when the Cavaliers are playing at home (13.3).
The matchup vs. Cleveland is a hard one for field goals; when the Cavaliers are playing at home, the other team's starting Cs have compiled the 2nd-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (48.7%).
The Cavaliers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Grizzlies.