Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 1, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-118/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has sunk 63.8% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 9.3% higher than he's sunk overall this year while playing at home.
Xavier Tillman has attempted 2.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.6 more than he's attempted overall this year at home.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
While playing away from home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has attempted 0.3 three-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 13th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Xavier Tillman has been on the court for 12.2 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 21st percentile -- ranking among the least-used players in the league.
The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a hard one for threes; opposing clubs have totaled the 10th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (13.2).
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home when it comes to attempts from downtown.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Grizzlies.