Xavier Tillman Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Made 3 Point Shots

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 16, 2024 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+190/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -250.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has attempted 1.7 threes per game this year, significantly more than his 0.3 rate last year.
When squaring off against fellow starting Cs, Kevon Looney has been in the 83rd percentile with an enormous 2.1 3-point shots attempted against him per game this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from home, the Golden State Warriors have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Xavier Tillman slots into the 20th percentile for three-point ability with a a weak 25.2% rate this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The 4th-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.

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