Xavier Tillman Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Made 3 Point Shots

Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 3, 2023

Updated Nov 4, 2023 1:48 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+145/-192).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +190 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Xavier Tillman rates in the 87th percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a a stellar 38.9% rate since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the opposition's starting Cs have tallied 2.0 three attempts per game (26th-highest in the league) against the Trail Blazers, creating a favorable matchup.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 12thbest in in the league as the home team with 12.0 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has attempted 0.5 3-pointers per game while playing away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 13th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
As it relates to shots from downtown, the Grizzlies's poor 34.6% rate of drained threes while playing on the road rates 6th-lowest in the league since the start of last season.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the {OPP_TEAM}.
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have grabbed 11.0 offensive boards per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (preserving possessions that can produce additional chances for offense).
Xavier Tillman will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player performance across the board.

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