Xavier Tillman Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Made 3 Point Shots

Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 11:46 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+850/-1600).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1000 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +850.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has tallied 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a good one for attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (2.1).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should boost plays for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has made 26.9% of his 3-point attempts this year, putting him in the 25th percentile among all players in the league.
Xavier Tillman has attempted 0.4 threes per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 14th percentile out of all players in the league.
Xavier Tillman has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games when playing away from home, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated overall this year on the road.
The Bucks have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally reduces player performance for all stats.