Xavier Tillman Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Made 3 Point Shots

Memphis Grizzlies vs Orlando Magic · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 28, 2023 1:52 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+900/-1700).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has been on the court for 26.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 8.4 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
The matchup vs. Orlando is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting Cs have totaled the 27th-most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games when the Magic are away from home (1.9).
The Magic have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase plays for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increases stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has converted 26.9% of his treys this year, ranking in the 25th percentile out of all players in the league.
Xavier Tillman has attempted 0.3 three-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 12th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.
The Magic have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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