Xavier Tillman Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 10:53 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from home, the Golden State Warriors have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The 4th-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.

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