Xavier Tillman Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 11:56 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+113/-147).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -147.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has totaled 2.6 assists per game over the last 10 games while playing away from home, 1.0 higher than he's totaled over the course of the year on the road.
Xavier Tillman has tallied 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should boost plays for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games when playing away from home, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated overall this year on the road.
The Bucks have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally reduces player performance for all stats.

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