Xavier Tillman Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 11:58 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +150 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has averaged 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which should lead to more plays for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally improves player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

The Trail Blazers have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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