Xavier Tillman Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Orlando Magic · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+148/-184).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -186 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -184.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has put up 2.5 assists per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 higher than he's put up in all games this season.
Xavier Tillman has been on the court for 26.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 8.4 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
The Magic have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase plays for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increases stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.
The Magic have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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