Xavier Tillman Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 20, 2023

Updated Mar 20, 2023 7:56 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has averaged 2.0 assists per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 0.8 more than he's averaged overall this season at home.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Mavericks have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to increases player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has tallied 13.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-used players in the NBA: 24th percentile.
The Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the Grizzlies.

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