Xavier Tillman Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 9, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has totaled 2.0 assists per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 0.8 more than he's totaled in all games this year at home.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
While playing away from home, the Warriors have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has been on the court for 13.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the least-used players in the NBA: 24th percentile.
The Warriors have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Grizzlies.

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