Xavier Tillman Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has put up 2.0 assists per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 0.8 more than he's put up overall this season at home.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has tallied 13.1 minutes per game this year, some of the lowest playing time of any player in the league: 24th percentile.

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