Xavier Tillman Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 12, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-116/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has tallied 3.0 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's tallied overall this season.
Xavier Tillman has been called for 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least-whistled players in the league (19th percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Celtics have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Grizzlies.
Xavier Tillman will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers stat production across the board.

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