Xavier Tillman Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 23, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+112/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the least foul-prone players in the league (14th percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home city, which should lead to more possessions for the Kings.
While at home, the Kings have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which also create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has posted 0.6 assists per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 17th percentile -- among the worst in the league in this category.
Xavier Tillman has played 10.8 minutes per game this year, riding the bench far more than most players in the league: 17th percentile.
Xavier Tillman will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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