Will Richard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2026

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Will Richard

NBA · Player Props

Will Richard

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 20, 2026

Updated Jan 21, 2026 4:59 AM EST

Analysis

Will Richard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+102/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Warriors check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
The matchup vs. Toronto is a good one; when the Toronto Raptors are away from home, they have given up the most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (23.9).
The 4th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.
The matchup vs. Toronto may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 4.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Raptors are on the road (6th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Warriors will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Raptors).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Golden State Warriors grade out 3rdworst in in the league while at home with only 8.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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