Will Richard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/19/2026

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Will Richard

NBA · Player Props

Will Richard

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat · Jan 19, 2026

Updated Jan 20, 2026 3:03 AM EST

Analysis

Will Richard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Warriors rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Miami is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Miami Heat are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).
The Heat have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should boost possessions for the Warriors.
The matchup against the Miami Heat may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted a colossal 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).

Favors Under

The 10th-most lethargic tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Golden State Warriors.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Golden State Warriors grade out 6thworst in in the league with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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