Will Richard Points - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2025

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Will Richard

NBA · Player Props

Will Richard

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 19, 2025

Updated Nov 20, 2025 3:44 AM EST

Analysis

Will Richard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Warriors's excellent 16.3 drained threes per game measures as the strongest in the league this year.
This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, labeling this as a positive matchup.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road.
The Miami Heat have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Golden State Warriors.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.4 free throws per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

The Warriors check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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