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Wendell Carter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 10/22/2025

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-230/+170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -275 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a good one for 3-point shots; when defending fellow starting Cs since the start of last season, they have successfully made an enormous 39.2% of their shots from downtown (93rd percentile).

As a team, the Magic have been terrific at getting to the charity stripe: 8th-best in the NBA since the start of last season, tallying 23.0 free throws per game.

Wendell Carter Jr. will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to boost stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Wendell Carter Jr. has sunk 23.8% of his shots from downtown since the start of last season, placing him in the 12th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Wendell Carter Jr. has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (97th percentile).

In regard to offense, the Orlando Magic's feeble 104.9 points per game ranks lowest in the NBA since the start of last season.

The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league since the start of last season.

The Magic are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace team in the league since the start of last season (the Heat).

More Wendell Carter Jr. Player Props

Wendell Carter Jr. PointsPlayer Prop - 10/22/2025

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Wendell Carter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 10/22/2025