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Wendell Carter Jr.

Wendell Carter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/29/2025

Orlando Magic vs Sacramento Kings

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Orlando Magic have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Wendell Carter Jr. has successfully made 91.3% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 17.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

The matchup vs. Domantas Sabonis is a positive one for getting to the foul line; when Sabonis is playing on the road other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.6 foul shots per game (87th percentile).

Wendell Carter Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually increases stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Wendell Carter Jr. has sunk 22.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, placing him in the 14th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Wendell Carter Jr. has committed 3.9 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 1.0 higher than he's committed over the course of the year at home.

As it relates to shooting, the Orlando Magic's lackluster 104.9 points per game places lowest in the NBA this year.

The number of treys attempted against Domantas Sabonis has been quite low (1.5 per game) when playing on the road and defending other starting Cs this year (10th percentile).

The 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Orlando Magic.

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