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Wendell Carter Jr.

Wendell Carter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2025

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Wendell Carter Jr. has attempted 10.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Wendell Carter Jr. has played 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's played in all games this season.

The matchup against Kel'el Ware is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a monstrous 45.0% of their 3-point shots (100th percentile).

The Orlando Magic check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 34.1% rate, Wendell Carter Jr.'s three-point effectiveness has diminished this year to 20.8%.

Wendell Carter Jr. has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed over the course of the season.

The Orlando Magic rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The most lethargic tempo offense in the league this year has been the Magic.

The Orlando Magic will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).

More Wendell Carter Jr. Player Props

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