Wendell Carter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2024

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Wendell Carter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Wendell Carter Jr.

C-F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat · Dec 26, 2024

Updated Dec 26, 2024 11:40 PM EST

Analysis

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Magic check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Wendell Carter Jr. has made 83.3% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 8.3% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season with the home court advantage.
Wendell Carter Jr. should get a boost in productivity across the board on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Wendell Carter Jr. registers in the 21st percentile for three-point effectiveness with a weak 26.9% rate this year.
Among all players in the league, Wendell Carter Jr. registers in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.6 fouls per game this year.
The Orlando Magic have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Orlando Magic.
The Magic will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Miami Heat).

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