Wendell Carter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2024

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Wendell Carter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Wendell Carter Jr.

C-F · Orlando Magic

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Orlando Magic · Nov 3, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 3:53 AM EST

Analysis

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Wendell Carter Jr. ranks in the 80th percentile for field goal efficiency with a stellar 50.8% rate since the start of last season.
As a team, the Magic have been terrific at getting to the charity stripe: best in the NBA since the start of last season, drawing 24.7 free throw attempts per game.
The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; when guarding fellow starting Cs since the start of last season, they have attempted a massive 3.7 free throws per game (81st percentile).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Wendell Carter Jr. places in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.3 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The rate of treys converted against Daniel Gafford has been remarkably low (4.2%) when he is playing at home and squaring off against other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The Magic will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Orlando Magic rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Among all players in the NBA, Wendell Carter Jr. slots into the 23rd percentile for foul-shot effectiveness with a weak 68.4% rate since the start of last season.

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