Wendell Carter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 10/28/2024

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Wendell Carter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Wendell Carter Jr.

C-F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers · Oct 28, 2024

Updated Oct 29, 2024 2:01 AM EST

Analysis

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Wendell Carter Jr. measures in the 76th percentile for scoring proficiency when playing at home with a phenomenal 51.6% rate since the start of last season.
The faceoff with Myles Turner lands in the 93rd percentile with the other team's starting Cs sinking a whopping 42.5% of their three-pointers since the start of last season when they are at home.
The Magic will likely see a rise in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league since the start of last season (the Pacers).
As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Magic's stellar 24.6 free throws per game places best in the league since the start of last season.
The matchup against Myles Turner is a favorable one for drawing fouls; when Turner is on the road fellow starting Cs since the start of last season, they have attempted a massive 4.1 free throws per game (86th percentile).

Favors Under

Wendell Carter Jr. has sunk 26.7% of his 3-point shots on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 19th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Wendell Carter Jr. places in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.3 fouls per game since the start of last season.
With respect to scoring, the Orlando Magic's lackluster 109.8 points per game places 5th-weakest in the NBA since the start of last season.
The 5th-slowest pace home offense in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Orlando Magic.

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