Wendell Carter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2024

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Wendell Carter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Wendell Carter Jr.

C-F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 27, 2024

Updated Apr 27, 2024 4:35 PM EST

Analysis

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Wendell Carter Jr. ranks in the 76th percentile for shooting effectiveness while on his home court with a superb 51.3% rate this year.
The Magic will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from facing the 7th-most up-tempo tempo visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Cavaliers).
The Magic check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Wendell Carter Jr. will likely see an increase in productivity in all facets of the game in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 15.2 rate, Wendell Carter Jr.'s points per game have fallen this year to 10.6.
Wendell Carter Jr. has played just 25.2 minutes per game this year, significantly less than his 29.7 minutes per game last year.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
When squaring off against fellow starting Cs, Jarrett Allen rates in the 6th percentile with a mere 9.3 shots from the field against him per game this year.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 25 games while at home.

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