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Wendell Carter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Wendell Carter Jr. has made 66.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 13.0% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.Among all players in the league, Wendell Carter Jr. comes in at the 75th percentile for three-point ability with a an excellent 38.0% rate this year.The matchup vs. Nic Claxton is a strong one for treys; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk an enormous 38.4% of their three-pointers (90th percentile).Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Magic rank 8thbest in in the NBA while at home with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.The Brooklyn Nets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Wendell Carter Jr. has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (91st percentile).With respect to shooting, the Magic's unimpressive 109.9 points per game playing at home comes in as the 4th-weakest in the league over the last 15 games.This year when they are at home, their opposition has tallied 14.0 three-pointers per game (5th-most in the league) against the Brooklyn Nets, making this a good matchup.The least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Orlando Magic.The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Magic.
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