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Wendell Carter Jr.

Wendell Carter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Orlando Magic

 
 
 
Wendell Carter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Wendell Carter Jr. has sunk 61.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 9.8% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
  • Wendell Carter Jr. has sunk 53.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 13.3% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
  • The matchup against Dereck Lively II is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 2.1 threes per game (87th percentile).
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic rank 3rdbest in in the league with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
  • The matchup against Dereck Lively II is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when Lively II is at home other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 3.8 free throws per game (77th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Orlando Magic have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The Magic have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
  • The Magic are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
  • Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have collected 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) vs. the Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can create extra opportunities for offense).
  • Wendell Carter Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen stat production in all facets of the game.

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