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Wendell Carter Jr.

Wendell Carter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Wendell Carter Jr. has made 50.7% of his field goals since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Out of all players in the league, Wendell Carter Jr. lands in the 77th percentile for three-point ability with a a remarkable 37.0% rate since the start of last season.

The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Orlando Magic.

The Orlando Magic check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

The Miami Heat have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Wendell Carter Jr. has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game while playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Orlando Magic have been the least aggressive offense in the league at home this year when it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a challenging one for shots from the field; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 8.7 field goals per game (3rd percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the league away from their home court this year, which should reduce possessions for the Magic.

The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Bam Adebayo has been quite low this year (2.7 free throw attempts per game: 21st percentile).

More Wendell Carter Jr. Player Props

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