Wendell Carter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2023

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Wendell Carter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Wendell Carter Jr.

C-F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards · Mar 21, 2023

Updated Mar 21, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Wendell Carter Jr. has made 8.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
Wendell Carter Jr. has attempted 6.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted overall this season.
Wendell Carter Jr. has been on the court for 28.9 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Wizards is a positive one; they have given up the 27th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting Cs this year (15.2).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.

Favors Under

The Orlando Magic check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Wizards have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should reduce possessions for the Magic.
When playing away from home, the Wizards have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

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