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Wendell Carter Jr.

Wendell Carter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2023

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Wendell Carter Jr. has successfully made 8.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Wendell Carter Jr. has successfully made 53.2% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 15.1% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season at home.

Wendell Carter Jr. has averaged 29.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Heat is a hard one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting Cs this year (10.0).

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Magic.

The Orlando Magic have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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