Wendell Carter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Wendell Carter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Wendell Carter Jr.

C-F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Wendell Carter Jr. has posted 16.0 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 81st percentile.
Wendell Carter Jr. has sunk 49.8% of his attempts from downtown playing at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Wendell Carter Jr. has attempted 4.5 foul shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 3.3 mark last season.
Wendell Carter Jr. has averaged 30.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 78th percentile.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league since the start of last season at home.

Favors Under

The Thunder have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the league to their opposition this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Thunder may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a measly 24.7 free throws per game this year (8th-least in the league).
The Orlando Magic rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year.

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