Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2025

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Utah Jazz · Mar 7, 2025

Updated Mar 8, 2025 4:35 AM UTC

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 68.5% rate, Walker Kessler's scoring prowess has spiked this year to 74.6%.
Walker Kessler has averaged 30.1 minutes per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The 3rd-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Jazz have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The showdown with Orlando Robinson in regard to drawing fouls ranks in only the 90th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs attempting an enormous 3.6 free throws per game this year.

Favors Under

In regard to field goals, the Utah Jazz's lackluster 40.4 converted shots per game settles in as the 8th-lowest in the league this year.
The faceoff with Orlando Robinson rates in the 7th percentile with the other team's starting Cs nailing a mere 20.8% of their three-point attempts this year.
The Jazz will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 7th-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Raptors).
Relative to last year's 62.0% rate, Walker Kessler's foul-shot effectiveness has tailed off this year to 52.5%.
Walker Kessler ought to suffer a drop-off in productivity in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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