Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 15, 2025

Updated Jan 15, 2025 9:05 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-155/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Walker Kessler places in the 99th percentile for shooting efficiency playing at home with a phenomenal 75.7% rate this year.
Walker Kessler has been on the court for 29.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 76th percentile.
The number of three-pointers scored against Mark Williams has been remarkably high (1.3 per game) when he is on the visiting team and facing opposing starting Cs this year (97th percentile).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase possessions for the Utah Jazz.
The Jazz rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

When it comes to shooting, the Utah Jazz's subpar 108.3 points per game while playing at home ranks 5th-worst in the league this year.
The Jazz have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Walker Kessler has successfully made a mere 50.6% of his free throws this season, a sizeable decrease from his 62.0 rate last season.
The matchup vs. Mark Williams is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 3.0 free throws per game (7th percentile).