Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2024

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz · Jan 23, 2024

Updated Jan 24, 2024 1:27 AM UTC

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has successfully made 80.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 12.6% more than he's made over the course of the year.
Walker Kessler has converted 66.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 39.4% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
This year, their opposition has averaged 34.4% on threes (3rd-weakest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
The Utah Jazz have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Utah Jazz have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Jazz check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing on the road this year.
The Utah Jazz will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
While on their home court, the New Orleans Pelicans have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Walker Kessler will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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