Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Boston Celtics vs Utah Jazz · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 12:25 AM UTC

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has sunk 76.4% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 13.2% more than he's sunk overall this year.
Walker Kessler has sunk 66.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 39.4% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year.
The matchup against the Celtics is a difficult one; they have given up the 5th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team this year (110.8).
The 7th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Utah Jazz have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league while playing away from home this year.
The Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the 4th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Celtics).
Over the last 20 games, opposing teams have collected 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Celtics (lengthening possessions that can lead to more chances for offense).
Walker Kessler should see a decline in effectiveness for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

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