Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 2:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has made 7.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 3.7 higher than he's converted in all games this year when playing away from home.
Walker Kessler has made 50.0% of his 3-point shots this year, putting him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.
Walker Kessler has averaged 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 10.4 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
The matchup vs. the Spurs is a positive one for threes; the other team's starting Cs have shot for the 30th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (41.2%).
The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

On their home court, the Spurs have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Utah Jazz have been poor at getting to the free throw line away from their home court: 6th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 21.6 foul shots per game.
The matchup vs. the Spurs may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted just 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (13th-least in the NBA).
Walker Kessler will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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