Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2023

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz · Feb 15, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has successfully made 5.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's made in all games this year.
Walker Kessler has averaged 28.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 7th-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court.
The Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has attempted 0.0 3-pointers per game away from home this year, ranking in the 3rd percentile among all players in the league.
The matchup vs. Brandon Clarke is a hard one; he has allowed a lowly 11.4 points per game when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (4th percentile).
As a team, the Utah Jazz have been bad at drawing fouls on the road: 7th-worst in the league this year, averaging a mere 21.7 foul shot attempts per game.
The matchup against Brandon Clarke is a difficult one for drawing fouls; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.2 free throws per game (4th percentile).
Walker Kessler will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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