Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2023

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

New York Knicks vs Utah Jazz · Feb 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has successfully made 6.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's put through the net overall this year.
Walker Kessler has tallied 26.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. Jericho Sims is a good one for attempts from beyond the arc; when facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 1.8 3-point shots per game (83rd percentile).
The Utah Jazz have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road.
The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has attempted 0.0 threes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 3rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Jazz.
As a team, the Utah Jazz have been lousy at getting to the foul line while playing on the road: 4th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing just 21.3 foul shots per game.
Walker Kessler will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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