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Walker Kessler

Walker Kessler Points
Player Prop - 2/8/2023

Utah Jazz vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Walker Kessler has sunk 5.2 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Walker Kessler has been on the court for 26.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.5 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.

The matchup vs. Rudy Gobert is a good one for three-point shots; when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a whopping 26.6% of their shots from downtown (-373 percentile).

The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Jazz.

The Utah Jazz have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Walker Kessler has attempted 0.0 shots from downtown per game while at home this year, putting him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the 2nd-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (43.2%).

The Utah Jazz have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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