Vit Krejci Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2025

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Vit Krejci

NBA · Player Props

Vit Krejci

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

LA Clippers vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 4, 2025

Updated Jan 5, 2025 3:25 AM EST

Analysis

Vit Krejci Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vit Krejci has attempted 4.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
The matchup against the Clippers is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 7th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.3).
The Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Hawks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Vit Krejci has converted a measly 19.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this season, quite a bit less than his 36.2 mark last season.
In terms of three-pointers, the Atlanta Hawks's subpar 34.6% rate of sunk threes comes in as the 9th-lowest in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The LA Clippers have played at the 8th-most lethargic tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Hawks.
Out of all players in the league, Vit Krejci rates in the 23rd percentile for getting to the free-throw line, totaling only 0.7 free throws per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 0.5 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the LA Clippers, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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