Vit Krejci Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2024

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Vit Krejci

NBA · Player Props

Vit Krejci

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 29, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 11:09 PM EST

Analysis

Vit Krejci Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 15.6 shot attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, branding this as a strong matchup.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Hawks are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Raptors).
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 2nd-best in the NBA as the road team with 14.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Vit Krejci has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 25.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 36.2% rate, Vit Krejci's three-point efficiency has declined this season to 18.5%.
Out of all players in the NBA, Vit Krejci comes in at the 21st percentile for playing time, putting up a mere 13.1 minutes per game this year.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.2 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
Vit Krejci will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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