Vit Krejci Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2024

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Vit Krejci

NBA · Player Props

Vit Krejci

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics · Mar 28, 2024

Updated Mar 28, 2024 11:46 PM EST

Analysis

Vit Krejci Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vit Krejci has sunk 2.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Vit Krejci has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.5 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 6.7 three attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Celtics, identifying this as a strong matchup.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Compared to last season's 50.0% mark, Vit Krejci's foul-shot efficiency has jumped this season to 75.0%.

Favors Under

The Hawks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Hawks.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.5 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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