Vit Krejci Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2024

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Vit Krejci

NBA · Player Props

Vit Krejci

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 23, 2024

Updated Mar 23, 2024 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

Vit Krejci Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Charlotte is a good one; when the Hornets are away from home, they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 5 games (22.3).
The Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank best in in the league with 12.8 offensive boards per game this year.
Vit Krejci has converted a whopping 75.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, a big improvement over his 50.0 rate last year.
The matchup vs. the Charlotte Hornets is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.5 free throws per game this year (most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Vit Krejci has attempted 0.7 three-point shots per game at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 16th percentile out of all players in the league.
Vit Krejci has played 4.9 minutes per game over the last 13 games with the home court advantage, 7.7 less than he's played in all games this year at home.
Vit Krejci has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's been called for over the course of the year.
As it relates to offense, the Atlanta Hawks's poor 45.2% field goal rate measures as the 5th-worst in the league over the last 10 games.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Atlanta Hawks.

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