Vince Williams Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

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Vince Williams Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Philadelphia 76ers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-139/+107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has posted 1.8 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, 0.5 more than he's posted in all games this season on the road.
Vince Williams Jr. has averaged 33.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 6.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
While at home, the Philadelphia 76ers have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (8.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Vince Williams Jr. registers in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game this year.
The 5th-least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies rank 9thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Vince Williams Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player production in all stat categories.

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