Vince Williams Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2024

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Vince Williams Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 26, 2024

Updated Feb 27, 2024 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-133/+103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has tallied 7.4 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
Vince Williams Jr. has played 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.9 more than he's played overall this year.
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team has brought down 8.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nets (losing possessions that could otherwise generate extra chances for offense).
Vince Williams Jr. will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Vince Williams Jr. registers in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 2.4 fouls per game while at home this year.
The 7th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 4thworst in in the NBA while at home with just 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

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