Vince Williams Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2024

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Vince Williams Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 15, 2024

Updated Feb 16, 2024 1:38 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has averaged 6.0 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this season at home.
Vince Williams Jr. has tallied 36.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.6 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Grizzlies.
Without the home court advantage, the Bucks have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Vince Williams Jr. stands to see a spike in efficiency across the board on account of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Vince Williams Jr. slots into the 76th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game while at home this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Grizzlies rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with only 7.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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