Vince Williams Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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Vince Williams Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has tallied 5.8 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.
Vince Williams Jr. has averaged 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 7.2 more than he's averaged overall this year on the road.
The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games on the road.

Favors Under

Vince Williams Jr. has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (77th percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year (the Phoenix Suns).
The Grizzlies have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, their opposition has brought down 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Suns (continuing possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense).
Vince Williams Jr. figures to see a decline in efficiency across the board due to being on the road in this matchup.

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