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Vince Williams Jr.

Vince Williams Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/11/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
Vince Williams Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Vince Williams Jr. has averaged a mere 1.6 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 2.6 fouls per game last year.
  • The fastest tempo team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies will likely get a boost in plays today from being pitted against the 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies grade out best in in the league when playing away from home with 14.7 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
  • Vince Williams Jr. has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 24.4% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In contrast to last year's 27.8 rate, Vince Williams Jr.'s playing time has decreased this year to 18.4 minutes per game.
  • The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.9).
  • Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.
  • Vince Williams Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens stat production across the board.

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